Southeastern Conference Tournament Recaps

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

03/11/2010 - Nashville, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Mikhail Torrance scored 17 points to help Alabama rally for a 68-63 win over South Carolina in the first round of the SEC Tournament.

Justin Knox had 16 points and seven boards while JaMychal Green added 10 points and seven boards for the Crimson Tide (17-14), who advanced to play top-seed Kentucky on Friday.

Devan Downey had a game-high 21 points and eight rebounds and Ramon Galloway added 14 points for the Gamecocks (15-16), who ended the season with seven losses in eight games.

The Tide trailed by as many as 18 points early in the second half, but cut their deficit to four points when pair of free throws from Knox made it 57-53 with a bit over 5 1/2 minutes to play.

Two free throws from Downey was countered by one from Knox. Galloway then stole the ball off of Tony Mitchell, but Downey's jumper missed and Torrance hit two from the line with just over three minutes to play.

Following a Brandis Raley-Ross turnover, Knox put in a layup and another Ross turnover resulted in a Mitchell layup to give Alabama a 60-59 lead with 2:03 to play.

A missed jumper from Downey was converted into two points at the other end for Alabama on a Torrance layup, but Galloway tied the game with a three-ball from the left side with 1:14 to play.

Torrance gave his team the lead back with a jumper with 55.3 to play and Downey missed at the other end.

Downey ripped the ball away from Senario Hillman and went to the line with a chance to tie the game with 18.3 seconds to play, but he only hit the second shot to make it a one-point contest.

After the timeout, the Crimson Tide got the ball in bounds and a long pass down the other end saw Green get the ball and put in with 9.5 seconds to play.

A lazy in-bounds pass from Sam Muldrow was then intercepted and Mitchell's two free throws sealed the win.

The game was tight through the first several minutes and Alabama led near the midway mark of the first half as Knox's layup made it a 14-12 game.

Muldrow, though, put in a layup and followed that with a slam to spark an 8-0 run as Downey's layup gave the team a six-point lead.

The Tide got the game back to one point a few minutes later, but South Carolina closed the frame on a 13-3 run and took a 38-27 lead into the locker room.

South Carolina built its lead to 18 on a Lakeem Jackson layup which made it a 54-36 game with under 12 minutes to play.

Wwwoasiscasino NCAA Basketball Betting News

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

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MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

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MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

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